Description | Symbol | Value (95 % CI) | Estimated or Observed |
---|---|---|---|
Initial occupancy in each compartment | |||
Number of residents susceptible to any MRSA | S | 350 | observed |
Number of residents colonized with non-USA300 | I 1 | 79 | observed |
Number of residents colonized with USA300 | I 3 | 14 | observed |
Number of residents co-colonized with non-USA300 and USA300 | I b | 3 | observed |
Total number of residents | N | 446 | observed |
Model Parameters | |||
Probability of admission of MRSA-colonized residents | λ | 0.215 | estimated |
Discharge rate of susceptibles (per 3 months) | γ S | 0.101 | estimated |
Discharge rate of MRSA-colonized (per 3 months) | γ I | 0.074 | estimated |
Proportion of residents colonized with non-USA300 at baseline | w 1 | 0.823 | observed |
Proportion of residents colonized with USA300 at baseline | w 3 | 0.146 | observed |
Proportion of residents co-colonized with both strains at baseline | w b | 0.031 | observed |
Acquisition rate for non-USA300a | b 1n | ||
- generalb | 0.029 (0.022, 0.038) | estimated | |
- w/o ABc | 0.020 (0.014, 0.030) | estimated | |
- with ABd | 0.042 (0.030, 0.061) | estimated | |
Acquisition rate for USA300a | b 3n | ||
- generalb | 0.006 (0.004, 0.011) | estimated | |
- w/o ABc | 0.004 (0.002, 0.010) | estimated | |
- with ABd | 0.009 (0.005, 0.019) | estimated | |
Clearance rate for non-USA300a | g n1 | ||
- generalb | 0.116 (0.088, 0.152) | estimated | |
- w/o ABc | 0.125 (0.086, 0.179) | estimated | |
- with ABd | 0.107 (0.074, 0.163) | estimated | |
Clearance rate for USA300a | g n3 | ||
- generalb | 0.137 (0.082, 0.228) | estimated | |
- w/o ABc | 0.155 (0.079, 0.328) | estimated | |
- with ABd | 0.125 (0.064, 0.266) | estimated |