Trends in antiviral therapy of adults hospitalized with influenza in Canada since the end of the 2009 pandemic
© Taylor et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. 2014
Received: 12 August 2013
Accepted: 8 December 2013
Published: 10 January 2014
Multiple observational studies have associated antiviral treatment of patients hospitalized with influenza with improved outcome, including reduced mortality. During the 2009–2010 H1N1 pandemic increased use of antiviral treatment of hospital patients was reported. We have carried out prospective surveillance for influenza in patients in a large network of Canadian hospitals since 2006. We wished to assess trends in antiviral use in the two seasons (2010–2011 and 2011–2012) since the end of the pandemic.
Adults (>16 years) testing positive for influenza at the time of or during admission to participating Canadian hospitals were prospectively reviewed. In 2009–2010 there were 1132 confirmed cases, 1107 in 2010–2011 and 631 in 2011–2012. Information on antiviral therapy was available in >95% in each year. Rising to 89.6% in 2009, the proportion of adult patients treated with antiviral therapy fell to 79.9% and 65.7% in the two subsequent seasons (p < 0.001). Oseltamivir was the antiviral agent used in >98% of cases in each year. The median time from onset of symptoms to initiation of antiviral therapy was three days. The treatment proportion fell across all age groups, co-morbid conditions and disease severity.
Despite evidence for benefit of antiviral therapy, and clinical practice guidelines recommending treatment of this population, antiviral therapy of Canadian adults hospitalized with influenza has progressively fallen in the two seasons since the end of the 2009–2010 influenza pandemic.
Multiple observational studies in patients hospitalized with influenza carried out during seasonal and pandemic influenza years have documented a survival benefit in patients treated with antiviral therapy [1–4]. Clinical practice guidelines recommend treating all patients who are unwell enough to be admitted to hospital [5–7]. During the 2009 pandemic, the proportion of patients treated with antiviral therapy greatly increased in adults in US hospitals . We have carried out prospective surveillance for the occurrence of laboratory confirmed influenza in adults admitted to a sentinel network of Canadian hospitals since 2006 and aimed to assess trends in antiviral use in this population in the two influenza seasons following the end of the 2009 pandemic.
Setting and methods
The Canadian Nosocomial Infection Surveillance Program (CNISP) is a network of 54 largely urban tertiary acute care hospitals from ten provinces and is a partnership between the Public Health Agency of Canada which provides funding and the Canadian Hospital Epidemiology Committee, a sub-committee of the Association of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Disease -Canada. We have carried out surveillance for influenza in adult patients in network hospitals since 2006, as previously described . Briefly, from 2006 to 2008, CNISP conducted surveillance of laboratory-confirmed influenza among hospitalized inpatients 16 years of age and older during the traditional influenza season. Following the emergence of the pH1N1 influenza in 2009, the program was expanded to year-round surveillance, which continued in the post pandemic influenza seasons. An influenza case was defined as any adult (≥ 16 years of age) with a positive influenza laboratory test result from a specimen collected during the surveillance period on or during admission to a participating hospital. Cases were identified by concurrent or retrospective chart review by infection control practitioners. Patient questionnaires were completed for each case. Patients were reviewed 30 days after initial positive test to determine whether death had occurred. Underlying medical conditions that were consistently collected for the 2009–10, 2010–11 and 2011–12 seasons were: chronic lung disease, chronic heart disease, immune suppression, diabetes mellitus and kidney disease. Descriptive statistics were calculated. Differences were assessed for categorical variables using the Chi-squared test and p values reflect a two-tailed alpha level of 0.05. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression and survival analysis were conducted for the data from the 2009–2010 surveillance year data onwards to assess the association between antiviral therapy use and 30-day in-hospital mortality and overall mortality respectively. In order to control for possible confounding, variables for underlying chronic lung disease, chronic heart disease and kidney disease, as well as age, were included in the final logistic and survival analysis models. Missing data and unable to assess responses were removed from all calculations. Statistical analysis was performed using Stata version 11 (StataCorp, College Station, TX) and SAS Enterprise Guide 5.1 (SAS Institute Inc, Cary, NC).
Antiviral therapy of adults hospitalized with influenza by age, comorbidity, severity and year
Chronic heart disease
p = 0.045
p < 0.001
Chronic lung disease
p = 0.006
p < 0.001
Chronic renal disease
p = 0.305
p = 0.010
p = 0.004
p = 0.003
p = 0.003
p < 0.001
p = 0.10
p = 0.1.
Age ≥ 65 years
p = 0.994
p = 0.001
(p = 0.02)
(p < 0.001)
Association between mortality and antiviral therapy, age, chronic heart disease, chronic lung disease and kidney disease
HR*- (95% CI)
1.12 (0.72, 1.74)
1.02 (1.01, 1.03)
No chronic heart disease (reference chronic heart disease)
1.33 (0.90, 1.97)
No chronic lung disease (reference chronic lung disease)
0.98 (0.68, 1.42)
No kidney disease (reference kidney disease)
0.65 (0.42, 1.03)
The basis for recommending antiviral therapy of patients hospitalized with influenza is derived from multiple observational studies which have demonstrated a clinical benefit in treatment of this population, including reduced mortality. This benefit has been documented for seasonal and pandemic influenza, and in ICU as well as non-ICU patients. Our data did not demonstrate an association between antiviral therapy and reduced risk of in hospital risk adjusted mortality in the pandemic and two subsequent influenza seasons; however the numbers of deaths in the three seasons, and numbers of patients who died who had not been treated with antiviral therapy were quite low (123 and 25 respectively).
While there is strong evidence for better clinical efficacy if antiviral therapy is initiated early, there is some evidence for clinical efficacy even when treatment is delayed up to 5 days following onset of illness; on theoretical grounds treatment may be effective in some subgroups when started even later . Based on these data , the Infectious Diseases Society of America (IDSA), and its Canadian counterpart, the Association for Medical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases - Canada strongly recommend the use of antiviral therapy in all patients unwell enough to be hospitalized when treatment can be started early in the course of the illness, and recommend it when the diagnosis is made late in the course [6, 7].
In our hospital network, as in US hospitals, the proportion of cases admitted to hospital that were treated with antiviral agents greatly increased during the 2009 pandemic year. It is therefore disconcerting to find that the gains in treatment have been substantially lost in the post pandemic period. Garg et al. demonstrated a 6% decline in antiviral therapy of adults admitted to US hospitals from 82% during the pandemic, to 77% in the first post pandemic year . Our data illustrates a more precipitate and progressive trend in patients hospitalized in Canadian hospitals, from the peak of 89.6% during the pandemic to only 65.7% in the second post pandemic year. This trend was widespread affecting all age groups, including the elderly, and all underlying co-morbid conditions. Furthermore it was also experienced by patients sick enough to require ICU admission.
Given the consensus that hospitalized patients should be treated, reasons for the declining use of antiviral therapy are not clear. The decline in enthusiasm for treatment may in part be driven by controversy around efficacy of antiviral therapy based on clinical trials data. Randomized trials of antiviral therapy, primarily oseltamivir, have undergone recent re-examination raising doubt regarding the clinical benefit of treatment . However, these trials are not directly relevant to hospitalized patients, since they were conducted largely on otherwise healthy ambulatory patients.
The very high proportion of use of antivirals in 2009 occurred in the context of a pandemic and represented a marked increased compared with previous seasons. The subsequent decrease may represent a gradual return to the pre-pandemic healthcare worker behavior, or a perception that seasonal influenza, even in hospitalized patients, may be of lesser severity. This suggests that the effect of the intensive training and promotion that were conducted in the context of the pandemic was short-lived.
In the two seasons following the 2009 pandemic, the proportion of patients hospitalized with influenza treated with antiviral therapy in Canada has markedly declined. Further research should be carried out to understand the reasons for declining treatment rates. Promotion of antiviral use in hospitalized patients may need to be repeated in order to obtain a sustained effect and to prevent further decrease in use.
- McGeer A, Green KA, Plevneshi A, Shigayeva A, Siddiqi N, Raboud J, Low D: Antiviral therapy and outcomes of influenza requiring hospitalization in Ontario, Canada. Clin Infec Dis. 2007, 45: 1568-1575. 10.1086/523584.View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Lee N, Choi KW, Chan PKS, Hui DSC, Lui GCY, Wong BCK: Outcomes of adults hospitalized with severe influenza. Thorax. 2010, 65: 510-515. 10.1136/thx.2009.130799.PubMedView ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Louie JK, Yang S, Acosta M: Treatment with Neuraminidase inhibitors for critically ill patients with influenza A (H1N1) pdm09. Clin Infect Dis. 2012, 55: 1198-1204. 10.1093/cid/cis636.PubMedView ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Muthuri SG, Myles PR, Venkatesan S, Leonardi-Bee J, Nguyen-Van-Tam JS: Impact of neuraminidase inhibitor treatment on outcomes of public health importance during the 2009–10 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic: a systematic review and meta-analysis in hospitalized patients. J Infect Dis. 2013, 207: 553-563. 10.1093/infdis/jis726.PubMedPubMed CentralView ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Influenza Antiviral Medications: Summary for Clinicians; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Content source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (NCIRD).http://www.cdc.gov/flu/professionals/antivirals/summary-clinicians.htm,
- Harper SA, Bradley JS, Englund JA: Seasonal influenza in adults and children-diagnosis, treatment, chemoprophylaxis and institutional outbreak management: clinical practice guidelines of the Infectious Diseases Society of America. Clin Infect Dis. 2009, 48: 1003-1032. 10.1086/598513.PubMedView ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Aoki FY, Allen UD, Stiver HG, Evans GA: The use of antiviral drugs for influenza: guidance for practitioners 2012/2013. Can J Infect Dis Med Microbiol. 2012, 23 (4): e79-e92.PubMedPubMed CentralGoogle Scholar
- Doshi S, Kamimoto L, Finelli L, Perez A, Reingold A, Gershman K: Description of antiviral treatment among adults hospitalized with influenza before and during the 2009 pandemic: United States, 2005–2009. J Infect Dis. 2011, 204: 1848-1856. 10.1093/infdis/jir648.PubMedView ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Wilkinson K, Mitchell R, Taylor G, Amihod B, Frenette C, Gravel D: Laboratory confirmed pandemic H1N1 in hospitalized adults. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiolog. 2012, 33: 1043-1046. 10.1086/667732.View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Aoki F, Hayden F: The beneficial effects of neuraminidase inhibitor drug therapy on severe patient outcomes during the 2009–2010 influenza A virus subtype H1N1pandemic. J Infect Dis. 2013, 207: 547-549. 10.1093/infdis/jis727.PubMedView ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Garg S, Chaves S, Perez A, D’Mello T, Gersham K, Meek J: Reduced influenza antiviral treatment among children and adults hospitalized with laboratory confirmed influenza in the year after the 2009 pandemic. Clin Inf Dis. 2012, 55: 18-21. 10.1093/cid/cis442.View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Jefferson T, Jones M, Doshi P, Del Mar C: Neuraminadase inhibitors for treating influenza in healthy adults: systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ. 2009, 339: b5106-10.1136/bmj.b5106.PubMedPubMed CentralView ArticleGoogle Scholar
This article is published under license to BioMed Central Ltd. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.